Category Archives: Media

Blockchain in 2018 and beyond

Buoyed by Bitcoin’s latest price and a steady supply of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), the blockchain ecosystem in 2018 resembles the Web ecosystem of 1995 – an ecosystem that eventually disrupted advertising and marketing models by having companies such as Amazon, Google and Facebook outplace traditional retail sales and marketing companies.  This time around, however, the financial levers presently held by banks and related financial services firms will be retooled – as well as the present centralized server model so very important to the same companies who previously benefited from the Web ecosystem, namely Amazon, Google and Facebook.

Speculation vs. Utilization

in September 2017, Bitcoin was famously derided by the financial titan Jamie Dimon as “a fraud”.  The JPMorgan CEO went so far as to say he would fire anyone on his trading team who bought Bitcoin.  His gratuitous digs at Bitcoin did not temper the rise of Bitcoin and became noteworthy – and a likely source of friction with his traders, because the Bitcoin cryptocurrency went on to increase in value over three-fold a mere 1Q after Dimon’s public derision.   As of December 31, 2017, Bitcoin sits at a price of near $14,000 whereas when Mr. Dimon’s bold pronouncements were made Bitcoin “only” had a price of $4,115.

Similarly, another banker – Vitor Constancio, the vice president of the European Central Bank, said in July 2017 that Bitcoin “is not a currency but a mere instrument of speculation” – comparing it to tulip bulbs during the 17th century trading bubble in the Netherlands.

In the same way that the World Wide Web was never defined solely by Pets.com, the benefits of blockchain technology should never be defined solely by the latest price of Bitcoin.  Even Mr. Dimon acknowledges as much given during his tirade against the speculative nature of Bitcoin he also said “he supported blockchain technology for tracking payments.”

By way of background, a blockchain is nothing more than an expandable list of records, called blocks, which are linked and secured using cryptography, namely cryptographic hashes that point to each prior block and result in an unbreakable “chain” of hashes surrounding the blocks.  More accurately referred to as a distributed ledger of accounts, a blockchain ecosystem will disrupt more than one industry beginning in 2018.

The inevitable changes that will occur in 2018 spring from several unique attributes of the blockchain ecosystem.  First, because a blockchain ledger is distributed it takes advantage of the vast amount of compute power available in most every computer device.  Similar to how the Mirai botnet distributed denial of service (DDos) attack became the largest DDoS attack by simply using unsecured IoT access, blockchain technology harnesses secure unused compute power in powerful and productive new ways.  Our new IoT ecosystem – which itself is an outgrowth of the Web ecosystem, will only feed into that result.

Secondly, blockchain ledger transactions are the closest thing to an immutable form of transaction accounting we have given the transactions have been verified and cannot be changed once written to the blockchain without evidence of obvious tampering – which was always the reason Bitcoin derived any actual intrinsic value.  In other words, the promise of blockchain coupled with pure speculation has solely driven Bitcoin pricing.  By buying Bitcoin and other cybercurrencies, it is almost as if people were given a chance to turn back the clock and bet on the Web ecosystem in 1995.  Without usage for its intended purpose, namely being a trusted and immutable listing of Bitcoin transactions, Bitcoin would most certainly go to the zero valuation postulated by Morgan Stanley.  The logic is pretty straight forward – without an actual intrinsic store of value, there is no actual intrinsic store of value.  And, without some sort of intrinsic store of value there is no reason to consider Bitcoin an asset.  Accordingly, unless utilized by choice or forced to be used by a government, speculation will never be a sustainable impetus for the pricing of Bitcoin – or any other cryptocurrency for that matter.  Without utilization, tokens/app coins/cryptocurrencies will all die on the vine given external utilization will always be needed to create a store of value.

Utilization under the Ethereum protocol

Disregarding the unlikely scenario of governmental adoption, the future of any blockchain/cryptocurrency ecosystem necessarily ties directly to utilization.  Even though there are several protocols with smart contracts amendable to utilization, there is only one founded by a visionary who understands the issue of scalability and why scalability is the sine qua non of a successful blockchain ecosystem – in the same way a non-scalable Web ecosystem was always a non-starter.  An early December 2017 presentation given by that visionary – Vitalik Buterin,  talks to scalability as being the most important new initiative of Ethereum going forward in 2018.   Mr. Buterin – who will likely take the blockchain ecosystem where Gates took the PC ecosystem and Bezos took the Web ecosystem, suggests that “sharding” using a Validator Manager Contract –  a construct that maintains an internal proof of stake claim using random validators, will eventually solve the problem of scalability.  Simply put, not all blocks/shards will need to be placed under the main chain.  This is a natural evolutionary progression given as it stands now everyone seeking an Ethereum wallet needs to download Ethereum’s entire trove of over four million blocks – hardly a scalable solution for the many app tokens or coins running the Ethereum protocol.  Moreover, each Ethereum block currently also takes about 14.70 seconds to promulgateIn 2014, Buterin anticipated the feasibility of a 12 second block time so has certainly been moving in the right direction.  Given security and propagation issues, work on this remains in the infancy stage with a great deal of work necessary in 2018.  Nevertheless, in 2018 and beyond, smart contracts such as those available under Ethereum will allow for the utilization necessary for the blockchain ecosystem to thrive.

Adoption by financial markets and the Ripple Effect

Ripple/XRP surged at the very end of 2017 and quickly became a rumored stealth initiative by the regulated banking industry to combat unregulated cryptocurrencies.  Ripple promises “end-to-end tracking and certainty” for those banks using its RippleNet closed-loop network.  More than anything, this initiative demonstrates that unregulated ICOs and unregulated “currencies” may have spooked the world’s financial markets sufficiently to justify taking sides by investing in a Ripple contender – a “blockchain-like” service seeking to displace existing cryptocurrency mindshare.  Indeed, Ripple just replaced ETH/Ethereum as the second largest market cap cryptocurrency.   Even though only two financial institutions are listed as investors, that does not mean other financial institutions would not want to prop up this “currency” on the open market – the list of “advisory board members” is telling in that regard.  This bank-sponsored version of Bitcoin certainly looks like it has more legs than Bitcoin given there exists budding utilization – banks are currently already using the RippleNet network, coupled with massive speculation given its ballooning market cap.

In 2018, acceptance of blockchain technology by the financial industry will be indelible proof those mistakes of 1995 made by retail sales and marketing companies will not be repeated by the financial industry or even the server sector represented by the likes of Google – who has invested in Ripple.  More than likely, upcoming technology developments under the Ethereum protocol will beget future tokens with smarter utilization and even greater potential upside than either Bitcoin or Ripple.  In other words, the blockchain ecosystem in 2018 will be no different than the Web ecosystem as it existed in 1995.

Carpenter may prod monetization of consumer data property rights

On November 29, 2017, the United States Supreme Court heard oral argument in U.S. v. Carpenter – a case involving robbery suspects who were convicted using cellphone tracking data obtained without a probable cause warrant.  Subpoenas and warrants available under the Stored Communications Act (“SCA”) allow for access to such records without any probable cause showing.    As previously pointed out, the ACLU is looking to push the Supreme Court into making a technology-forward decision by stressing how data collection methods have improved since the 2011 arrest of Carpenter.

According to Law360, Justice Samuel Alito said at the hour-long oral argument:  “I agree with [Carpenter] that this new technology is raising very serious privacy concerns, but I need to know how much of existing precedent you want us to overrule or declare obsolete.”  Justice Alito referenced the third-party doctrine that offers no added protections to material freely given to third parties given such material is generally provided without any expectation of privacy.

At oral argument, Law360 reports Carpenter’s counsel Nathan Wessler of the ACLU said that the bank records and dialed phone numbers found in third-party doctrine cases were “more limited” and freely given to a business as opposed to cellphone location records, which many users don’t understand can “chart a minute-by-minute account of a person’s locations and movements and associations.”

Law360 also reported that Justice Sonia Sotomayor raised doubt that the third-party doctrine found in prior precedent was applicable given there are instances when sensitive data freely given to third parties – such as medical records, still require consent.  According to Law360, Justice Neil Gorsuch said:  “It seems like your whole argument boils down to if we get it from a third party we’re OK, regardless of property interest.”   And, finally according to the SCOTUS Blog, Justice Stephen Breyer recognized at oral argument: “This is an open box. We know not where we go.”

Despite the third-party doctrine, it seems the Court is leaning towards carving out Constitutional exceptions to the SCA based on data gathering technologies that may give rise to an expectation of privacy.   As often done, the Justices will likely come up with a result that takes into consideration stare decisis while meshing with new technological capabilities far removed from earlier cases.   As recognized by Justice Sotomayor in the U.S. v. Jones case of 2012, “it may be necessary to reconsider the premise that an individual has no reasonable expectation of privacy in information voluntarily disclosed to third parties.  This approach is ill suited to the digital age, in which people reveal a great deal of information about themselves to third parties in the course of carrying out mundane tasks.”

To that end, the most interesting aspect of this case involving robberies in Detroit will be how far the decision goes in helping define property rights for consumers of digital services.  In a nod to Justice Breyer’s Pandora’s Box allusion, this decision might eventually give rise to a newfound consumer awareness mandating a change in how consumer data is used by companies.  In other words, property rights acknowledged in this case may help prod consumers into seeking compensation for their consumer data property rights – something the tech amicus might not have envisioned when filing their brief in U.S. v. Carpenter.

First Amendment Does Not Save NJ Teacher from Postings Firing

In a January 11, 2013 ruling, the New Jersey Appellate Division upheld the administrative dismissal of a first grade teacher.  She had argued that the First Amendment precluded her firing — which was based on two Facebook postings.  In the Matter of the Tenure Hearing of Jennifer O’Brien, (NJ App. Div. January 11, 2013).  One of her statements was, “I’m not a teacher — I’m a warden for future criminals!”

O’Brien said she posted the statement that her students were “future criminals” because of “their behaviors, not because of their race or ethnicity.”  She also stated that “six or seven of her students had behavioral problems, which had an adverse impact on the classroom environment.”  Id. at 4 – 5.

In finding that she failed to establish her Facebook postings were protected speech, the Appellate Division found that “even if O’Brien’s comments were on a matter of public concern, her right to express those comments was outweighed by the district’s interest in the efficient operation of its schools.”  Id. at 11.

This ruling sits in contrast to the NLRB’s frequent warnings regarding the sanctity of worker postings — especially when the postings pertain to workplace conditions.  The cringe-worthy nature of these postings, the fact they were directed at first graders, and the deference accorded administrative proceedings certainly all made it easy for the Appellate Division to rule as it did.  In other words, employers should not take great comfort in this ruling when evaluating whether to discipline employees for inflammatory postings.

NLJ: Smaller Law Firms Have Digital Advantage

In a recent National Law Journal article, Adrian Dayton argues that smaller law firms have been much better at jockeying for online positioning and expanding their digital footprint.  Driven by the ultimate goal of search engine optimization (SEO), these firms have been using blogs, FaceBook, Twitter and LinkedIn to get noticed in ways the largest firms are not. 

As pointed out by the author, run a Google search for “class action defense”and you will notice that the top listing is a blog produced by the law firm of Jeffer Mangels Butler & Mitchell — a firm with three offices and 138 attorneys.  Given  its blog, the firm dominates in SEO despite being relatively small.  Google’s search algorithms, including its PageRank methodology, place a premium on the sort of fresh content found on blogs.  Search results slanting in favor of smaller law firms pretty much run across the board given “the fact that in the entire AmLaw 100 there are more than 84,000 lawyers and only 130 law blogs.”  Not much in the way of competition.  In other words, if you want to get up in the rankings and get noticed by new clients looking for your perspective on legal matters, having a blog has been the quickest path to achieving that goal. 

Why does any of this matter? 

Well, according to a Greentarget/ALM survey, 35% of in-house counsel had visited a law blog within the past 24 hours and forty-three percent of in-house counsel cited law blogs among their top “go-to” sources for news and information.  This sort of “drip marketing” may take law firms months or even years to obtain an engagement given the strong  existing relationships that first need to be shaken loose.  On the other hand, it is likely the most cost-effective way to get the ball rolling. 

Given free publishing tools such as WordPress coupled with inexpensive professional themes and low-cost hosting options, the only real cost is the time it takes to write the blog post.  If you are a competent brief writer, it should take you no more than 30 minutes of your time every few days.   And, as correctly pointed out by Adrian Dayton, this small time commitment is well worth it.  Try it.  You may even enjoy the experience.  Just make sure what you write is not something that will impact a client relationship — after all, that is likely the reason larger firms have generally stayed away from the blogosphere.